Is Now A Good Time To Buy Gold?

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This is something I’ve been thinking about a lot these last few months. Looking at all the current global events including the upcoming US elections and the sense that the world is becoming increasingly unhinged, could gold (and by extension other precious metals such as silver) be a good place to put some of your savings/hard earned cash into?

Gold has traditionally been the place to put your money into during times of global unrest. Out of all the world currencies, the US dollar is often seen as the main currency. If you live in a country where the local currency is notoriously unstable, it is often seen as a smart idea to have any cash savings in US dollars. Especially since, unlike other major currencies such as the Euro or British Pound, the US dollar is accepted absolutely everywhere. Yet what happens when even the US dollar becomes unstable? This is where gold comes in.

All paper currencies, whether you have US dollars or Zambian Kwacha, are all just that; paper currencies. Furthermore, if the government wanted to, it could print more and more of its currency thus increasing the money supply and triggering inflation which reduces the value of a country’s currency against other currencies. Unlike paper money, gold is highly prized for its scarcity.

Gold can be seen more as a security to protect your money as opposed to making money. Of course if you buy gold at $1,300 an ounce and the price a few months later is $1,600, you would have made a nice profit if you ever decided to convert some of your gold back into cash (and conversely, if the gold price went down to $1000 and you needed cash you would be selling your gold at a loss).

There are also of course digital currencies out there with Bitcoin being the the most well known, established and traded of all the global digital currencies. Even if digital currencies may be seen as the future of money especially with the Bitcoin (which was once the pariah of the financial world) becoming increasingly accepted and recognised as a legitimate global currency, this is a world where my expertise is limited. I am also scared by the high chance of wild fluctuations and the whole intangibility of it all. Gold just seems less complicated. It is a precious tangible metal with a limited supply and that is all I need to know.

Looking at the gold price chart of the last twenty years, gold has already had a hell of a run going from a low of just $252 an ounce in 1999 to a high of $1889 an ounce in 2011. The current gold price as I write this article is $1307 an ounce; still several multiples of its 1999 low yet a good chunk lower than its 2011 high. Some say that the gold price could surpass its 2011 high and breach the $2000 an ounce mark if the world really did begin to tilt off its axis and spin in some crazy time signature. Yet predicting the future price of gold is a fool’s game. What I can say with ‘certainty’ though is that during times of ‘uncertainty’, gold is a good thing to have.

 

How To Purchase Gold

Gold can be purchased physically in the forms of established gold coins and gold bars. It can be good to personally own some bits of physical gold and keep them in a safety box (or dig a deep hole somewhere in your garden to hide and store them – just make sure you don’t forget where you put them!). On the other hand having lots of physical gold in the house can create a feeling of insecurity. If you are lucky enough to have a big gold pile, it would be best to keep it in a robust security vault by an established and reputable firm. Below I am listing some useful contacts…

Apmex based in Oklahoma, USA, is the world’s largest online retailer of precious metals selling more than 10,000 gold, silver, platinum and palladium products in the form of bars, coins, bullion, rare collectible editions etc.

BullionByPost based in Birmingham, UK is the UKs largest online gold dealer and a good contact to have if you are a UK resident.

For Australian residents, The Perth Mint is a good contact.

Other established global gold/precious metals dealers include the Canadian company Kitco and the Indian company RiddiSiddhi Bullion Limited.

The London based company BullionVault is an online peer to peer gold and silver bullion exchange. Since its founding in 2005, the company has been very successful. This is also a great place to trade gold and silver if you don’t have much money at your disposal since there is no minimum amount of gold or silver you can trade. BullionVault charges a flat 0.5% – 0.05% fee per trade depending on the amount of gold or silver you buy or sell. The other additional costs are the annual fees for storing and insuring the gold and silver you purchase which are 0.12% (0.01% per month – $4 minimum) of the value of your gold and 0.48% (0.04% per month – $8 minimum) of the value of your silver

 

By Nicholas Peart

5th November 2016

(All rights reserved)

 

image source: http://www.therealasset.co.uk 

7 thoughts on “Is Now A Good Time To Buy Gold?

  1. Before the referendum would have been better for sterling holders but probably still some value with the court-Brexit uncertainty. But because gold is dollar-priced it’ll depend who wins the election in the US.

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    1. That is very true that the best time to buy gold for Sterling holders would have been before the referendum in June. On the other hand few people could have foreseen that the Leave camp would win. One of the current predicaments for Sterling holders is that many predict that although a Trump victory would likely result in a rise in the gold price, it would also likely result in the $ weakening against the £ and since all gold prices are in $ this creates a challenge for Sterling holders who are considering buying gold now. Yet even with a Clinton victory (more likely – fingers crossed – although Trump could still very much win), when one takes a look at the entire world, I think purchasing some gold to hold for the long term is not a bad idea even if you are purchasing with a weakened £ against the $ at not the most favourable of prices. All in my humble opinion of course 😉

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